Archive · Equities & macro
Research
Every Brighthedge piece, newest first. All research is free to read. Each carries a price target, a model, and the specific things that would make it wrong.
All research
3 published
2026-05-22
◆ Macro thesis
The Dollar's Borrowed Strength
A new Fed chair, a blocked strait, and a market that thinks the dollar's props are sturdier than they are. EUR/USD higher and USD/JPY lower through 30 Sep — the compression comes from foreign legs rising, not the Fed cutting.
2026-05-22
▸ Equity initiation
Fortinet: the business is a Buy, the entry point is not
An elite security franchise priced for near-perfection — >50% global firewall share and net cash, but the stock embeds a near-certain bull case. Initiating at Watchlist; intrinsic fair value $85–100 vs a $129.46 close.
2026-05-22
◆ Macro thesis
The Commodity With No Futures
A 1955 corner, a 1958 law that has never been repealed, and the one place a market lets us run its own counterfactual — onions.